US Korea Institute

Friday May 27th 2016
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NK Nuclear Futures

Sanctions’ Role in Dealing with the North Korean Problem

Sanctions’ Role in Dealing with the North Korean Problem

For almost a decade, sanctions have been the principal coercive instrument available to the United States and the international community in trying to deal with North Korea’s nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missile programs. As bilateral and multilateral negotiating tracks with the DPRK have withered, sanctions that were initially [...]

Positive Economic Inducements in Future Nuclear Negotiations with North Korea

Positive Economic Inducements in Future Nuclear Negotiations with North Korea

Any future negotiations with North Korea will need to consider the role of economic incentives and rewards for making progress in meeting US goals of reducing Pyongyang’s nuclear weapons capabilities and risk of proliferation. This will require shaping a nuanced balance between the role of measures to maintain pressure to negotiate versus [...]

Implications for US Extended Deterrence and Assurance in East Asia

Implications for US Extended Deterrence and Assurance in East Asia

North Korea’s burgeoning nuclear program is placing greater demands on US extended deterrence and also raising questions in Seoul and Tokyo about the robustness of US commitments. These challenges are likely to grow over the coming years, as North Korea appears poised to expand the quantity, quality and diversity of weapons systems in its [...]

The Future Impact of North Korea’s Emerging Nuclear Deterrent on Nuclear Nonproliferation

The Future Impact of North Korea’s Emerging Nuclear Deterrent on  Nuclear Nonproliferation

The emergence of North Korea’s nuclear deterrent has been a grievous blow to international nonproliferation efforts and poses serious national security challenges for the United States and its Northeast Asian allies. It is by no means clear, however, that the precedent North Korea has set will significantly erode the nonproliferation regime or [...]

Nuclear North Korea: How Will it Behave?

Nuclear North Korea: How Will it Behave?

Much of the academic literature and policy thinking about proliferation makes the simple distinction between nuclear and non-nuclear states. This distinction is enshrined in the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT). But it is clear that while there is a nuclear threshold, not all states that have crossed it are equal, and it is hardly [...]

Alliance Military Strategy in the Shadow of North Korea’s Nuclear Futures

Alliance Military Strategy in the Shadow of North Korea’s Nuclear Futures

In the early decades of the Cold War when North Korea maintained only a large conventional force, alliance strategy depended on technological superiority. As North Korea gradually acquired cruise and short-range ballistic missile capabilities in addition to its conventional forces, the US nuclear umbrella and alliance missile defense capabilities [...]

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Credit for photo of young North Korean girl: T.M. All rights reserved, used with permission.