US Korea Institute

Wednesday June 29th 2016
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KMS-4 Nose Fairing Debris Found on Japanese Coast

KMS-4 Nose Fairing Debris Found on Japanese Coast

A 38 North exclusive with analysis by Nathan Hunt and Jack Liu. Summary On June 17, more than four months after North Korea launched the Kwangmyongsong-4 (KMS-4) satellite, the Japanese Defense Ministry reported the discovery of the second half of the launch vehicle nose fairing on a beach in Yurihama, Tottori Prefecture, about 1000 km [...]

Kim Chaek Iron and Steel Complex: Down but Not Out

Kim Chaek Iron and Steel Complex: Down but Not Out

A 38 North exclusive with analysis by Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. and Andy Dinville Summary A comparison of commercial multispectral and thermal satellite imagery from 2015 and 2016 indicates that the Kim Chaek Iron and Steel Complex has not been shut down due to the lack of materials and electricity as has been suggested by recent media reports. [...]

Trapped in No-Man’s-Land: The Future of US Policy Toward North Korea

Trapped in No-Man’s-Land: The Future of US Policy Toward North Korea

US policy toward North Korea has reached a dead end. Built upon a foundation of dubious assumptions, the Obama administration’s approach—whether called “strategic patience” or by some other name—has failed to achieve any progress toward US objectives in the region and no longer serves US foreign policy and national security interests. [...]

New Evidence of Probable Plutonium Production at the Yongbyon Nuclear Facility

New Evidence of Probable Plutonium Production at the Yongbyon Nuclear Facility

A 38 North exclusive with analysis by Joseph S. Bermudez, Jr. Summary Recent commercial satellite imagery shows new evidence that North Korea is preparing to commence or has already begun conducting a reprocessing campaign to separate more plutonium for nuclear weapons at the Yongbyon Nuclear Scientific Research Center. This activity [...]

Correcting the Record on 38 North’s Analysis of North Korea’s Possible Fifth Nuclear Test

Correcting the Record on 38 North’s Analysis of North Korea’s Possible Fifth Nuclear Test

The recent article, “What’s behind North Korea’s attempts for dialogue?” by Cha Du-Hyeogn, published by NK News calls 38 North to task as “falling for Pyongyang’s trickery” and reporting on “omens” of an imminent fifth nuclear test. Normally, we wouldn’t respond to such comments, but 38 North takes a great deal of pride in its [...]

Camouflage Netting Spotted on North Korea’s Ballistic Missile Submarine

Camouflage Netting Spotted on North Korea’s Ballistic Missile Submarine

A 38 North exclusive with analysis by Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. Recent commercial satellite imagery from May 8 of the Sinpo South Shipyard supports previous reports that North Korea is continuing to actively pursue development of both a ballistic missile submarine and submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBM). Camouflage netting, intended to [...]

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Credit for photo of young North Korean girl: T.M. All rights reserved, used with permission.